Tuesday, June 05, 2007

No real reason Part 2

Back in February I made predictions on how the early primaries and caucus would look for the Democrats. Since then Vilsack has gotten out and Clark never got in; time for another round.

Iowa

Edwards
Obama
Clinton
Richardson
Biden
Dodd
Kucinich
Gravel

Nevada

Richardson
Clinton
Edwards
Obama
Dodd
Biden
Kucinich
Gravel

New Hampshire
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Richardson
Biden
Dodd (who drops out)
Gravel (I just believe that Gravel will beat Kucinich at some point)
Kucinich

South Carolina
Obama
Clinton
Edwards (I still support him and hope he his the nominee, but if he does not win 2 out of the 4 early ones he is out.)
Richardson
Biden (Out)
Kucinich
Gravel

Super-duper Tuesday comes and knocks out Richardson unless he wins Texas or California. I could see it happening. Obama also must win at least one of the big four, Texas, California, New York or Florida, on that date to keep his name alive. Clinton has the name. She has the most 'house money' and can loose a few before people question the eventuality of her nomination.

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